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Rohan Fernando's avatar

[1] The true cost of open-source AI models, uncontrolled publication of advanced AI research in Nature etc, and open-throttled & unsupervised API access to commercial AI models, means [2] the full enabling of totally unmitigated IP replication, IP derivation, and IP theft by potential and actual adversaries for use in a multitude of totally uncontrolled AI applications.

Now consider, this is IP that has cost literally US$ multi-billions to create over decades, and is obviously worth many times more.

[3] The US commercial and open-source AI players have run a plethora of solid arguments against strong regulatory controls of the most pioneering and advanced AI, because for example, such regulation "would stifle innovation and commercial freedom".

Yes, possibly.

[4] However, the contra argument is demontrably proven by the 'sudden and shocking' arrival of DeepSeek-R1 from 1.5B to 671B which are all _completely open source_ !

It is logically obvious that [1] leads to [2] leads to [3] leads to [4]. Quite frankly, nobody should be surprised. Maybe part a solution is [5].

[5] If the US Govt seriously wants to protect a wide range of _unbelievably important_ commercial and economically competitive interests, National Security, and that of its closest global allies, then perhaps the key US decision makers might want to think long and hard about radically changing [3] to prevent far more of [4].

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Perry Boyle's avatar

You missed a biggie. Export restrictions impact only chips. The problem is we have 275k student from the PRC in the US, studying things line AI algorithms. Maybe that’s…dumb?

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