1 Comment
6 hrs ago·edited 6 hrs ago

Yes we need to rebalance fusion strategy towards more promising avenues. But for perspective, Metaculus estimates a median date of 2051 to supply *0.1%* of the world's energy by fusion, with a very long tail on that estimate. Meanwhile solar continues to accelerate.

https://www.metaculus.com/questions/9464/nuclear-fusion-power-01-of-global-energy/

https://www.economist.com/leaders/2024/06/20/the-exponential-growth-of-solar-power-will-change-the-world

Expand full comment